Methodology
Forecasting without a black box
BullMeteo makes a complex market easier to read while keeping the evidence and scoring rules visible.
What is Market Weather?
A plain-language summary of Bitcoin trend, momentum, volatility, and drawdown. It is calculated from market data—not generated by AI and not a trading signal.
What does Market Temperature mean?
A 0–100 directional scale. Lower is colder and more bearish; higher is hotter and more bullish. Current risk tempers the directional score.
What am I forecasting?
The Market Weather direction the same deterministic Engine will measure when the current UTC daily window ends.
When does it settle?
The exact UTC deadline appears before submission. Your choice locks immediately and the server settles it only from fresh market data after that deadline.
How do XP and levels work?
Every settled forecast earns 2 participation XP; a correct forecast earns 10 additional XP. Each 100 lifetime XP advances one level.
What does accuracy mean?
Correct settled forecasts divided by all of your settled forecasts. Open forecasts are excluded, and small samples are shown honestly.
What is Engine vs Crowd?
A fair comparison of the deterministic Engine and the community consensus against the actual outcome on the same settled windows.
Where does the data come from?
Bitcoin price history comes from the configured market-data provider, currently CoinGecko. The product shows retrieval timestamps and keeps technical evidence available.
Informational software, not financial advice
Weather readings and community forecasts can be wrong. They are for information and learning, not a recommendation to trade.